Информационная система "Конференции"



II International Workshop
ACTIVE GEOPHYSICAL MONITORING
OF THE EARTH LITHOSPHERE

September 12-16, 2005, Novosibirsk, Academgorodok

Attention!!!

We inform, that term of submission of theses and reports is prolonged till June, 30.


Abstracts


KINEMATICS AND DYNAMICS OF AFTERSHOCKS OF THE SOUTH-YAKUTIA EARTHQUAKE IN ASPECT OF PREDICTION OF LARGEST REPEATED SHOCKS

Klyuchevskii A.V.

Institute of the Earth Crust SB RAS,
Russia,
Irkutsk

Aftershocks play a significant part in investigation of seismicity and stress-strain state of medium, aimed to predict further behavior of major earthquake source. They are also of great interest to define cluster dimension and structure of earthquake zone and as a source of information on medium reology and redistribution of postseismic deformations and stresses in space and time.
The South-Yakutia earthquake (April 20, 1989; 22-59-54.8±0.6 c; MLH=6.6±0.1; Kр=16.5±0.5; j=57.17°±0.05° N and l=122.31°±0.10° E; H=27±5 km) occurred in the south of Yakutia in northern spurs of Stanovoy ridge and was followed by many aftershocks. This work presents the results of statistical study of kinematics (spatial location) and dynamics (relative variation in spatial location) of aftershocks of the South-Yakutia earthquake aimed to find the relation between migration of stress-strain zone concentration and largest repeated shocks. Variations of average characteristics of stress-strain concentration zones and largest successive aftershock groups in space and time are considered, dynamic parameters of aftershock sources are determined and it is found that the spatio-temporal shock clustering and the decreasing of average dislocation radii took place prior to the largest repeated events of April 19, 1989 (Kр=13.7, MLH=5.2) and May 17, 1989 (Kр=14.8, MLH=6.0). These peculiarities of the aftershock process may be used to predict these largest repeated shocks.

Note. Abstracts are published in author's edition


Last update: 06-Jul-2012 (11:44:54)